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By
NICK GOSNELL
Hutch
Post
HUTCHINSON,
Kan. — Dr. Scott Pauly with the Hutchinson Clinic said Friday he and his colleagues are trying to get school superintendents the best information they can to help keep schools open.<figure>
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 </figure>"A group of pediatricians and other primary care providers including family physicians are going to get together today to hopefully give more specific instructions that we feel will answer the questions of at what point at what level can we pump the brakes but keep kids in school," Pauly said.The issue is this is not going to get better soon."Our best modeling shows us that the number of COVID-19 cases we've had the first six months of this pandemic, will likely be reproduced in the next three months," Pauly said. In addition, it may seem like community testing hasn't helped, but Pauly believes the numbers say it has."Testing we have done has our positive test rate at 13%," Pauly said. "Without the community testing, our positive test rate would be 23%. It's clear to see that even though our community testing has been inadequate at this point, it's given us a nearly 10% improvement from what it would be if we were only testing those who were sick."Assuming the positive test rate was used as the measure and the rate was at 23%, that would have been well over the 15.7% threshold to push the county into the red zone and close schools and end activities completely.

Dr. Pauly: Community testing has helped, but cases are likely to continue to increase